The School of Odds
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FC Basel v FC St Gallen

2026-09-20 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel (Local)

Prediction 34.09%2.93fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.67%33.98%34.09%35.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.732.732.8540.82%36.65%36.70%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC St Gallen (Visit)

Prediction 41.49%2.41fair odd
EV -6.24%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%41.53%41.49%42.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.182.202.2648.08%45.98%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.42%4.10fair odd
EV -7.21%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%24.49%24.42%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.693.733.8028.17%27.08%26.85%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Basel (Local): 34.09%; FC St Gallen (Visit): 41.49%; Draw: 24.42%. For FC Basel (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -2.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 14:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.38%EV -12.04%E -5.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.83%EV -7.95%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.21%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.83%EV -7.95%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.21%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.83%EV -7.95%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.21%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.86%EV -6.24%E -2.76%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:41
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.86%EV -6.24%E -2.76%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 15:24
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.70%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 14:41
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.02%EV -7.90%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:36
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.02%EV -7.90%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:36
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.93%EV -12.04%E -4.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.09%EV -13.70%E -6.59%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.89%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.54%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-13 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.12%EV -16.47%E -6.72%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-13 14:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.