Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel v FC St Gallen

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Basel 1–3 FC St Gallen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel (Local)

Prediction 36.85%2.71fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.20%36.86%36.84%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.492.502.6345.45%40.11%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC St Gallen (Visit)

Prediction 39.05%2.56fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.05%39.05%39.10%40.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.4945.45%42.45%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.292%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%24.08%24.06%25.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.793.804.2028.17%26.37%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Basel (Local): 36.85%; FC St Gallen (Visit): 39.05%; Draw: 24.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV +1.23%E +0.292%K +0.383%G +0.005%4.7%2026-09-20 14:24
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.94%EV -6.78%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -9.01%E -3.87%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.96%EV -1.91%E -0.468%K -0.621%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 14:29
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.51%EV -6.78%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.89%EV -4.71%E -1.93%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.60%EV -3.11%E -0.774%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-16 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 14:24
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.80%EV -3.09%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -2.76%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -4.08%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -4.80%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.80%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -4.80%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:04
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 14:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:04
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -4.94%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -4.94%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:29
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -4.94%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:29
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -4.94%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:29
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:29
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.70%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:30
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.65%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.65%EV -6.41%E -2.52%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.11%EV -7.06%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.24%EV -7.45%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 14:29
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.06%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 05:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.28%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 14:05
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.46%EV -6.78%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 14:29
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:14
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 14:09
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 14:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 14:24
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -18.94%E -8.61%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.45%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-20 09:47
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.45%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:24
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.45%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:24
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.45%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.45%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 13:24
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.67%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:05
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.67%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 14:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.79%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.38%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 14:03
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -10.82%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.82%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:29
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.82%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.82%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.82%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.07%EV -11.35%E -5.00%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.82%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.50%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.82%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.82%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.86%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.60%EV -9.40%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -12.03%E -3.30%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 14:29
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -7.88%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.23%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 14:04
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.32%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -9.01%E -3.87%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 13:24
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:14
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 05:54
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 05:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 05:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 14:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.48%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -14.44%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 13:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.48%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.54%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -14.44%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.03%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 14:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-09-20 14:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-09-20 14:14
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-09-20 14:24