Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Basel v FC St Gallen

2026-09-20 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Testa a testa

22 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Basel (Casa)

Previsione 34.09%2.93quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -0.994%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.67%33.98%34.09%35.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.732.732.8540.82%36.65%36.70%35.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC St Gallen (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.49%2.41quota equa
EV -6.24%
Vantaggio -2.76%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.70%41.53%41.49%42.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.182.202.2648.08%45.98%45.45%44.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.42%4.10quota equa
EV -7.21%
Vantaggio -1.90%
Kelly -2.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.57%24.49%24.42%25.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.693.733.8028.17%27.08%26.85%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: FC Basel (Casa): 34.09%; FC St Gallen (Trasferta): 41.49%; Pareggio: 24.42%. Per FC Basel (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.93. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.85, con un valore atteso del -2.83%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -2.83%E -0.994%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -8.73%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.43%E -2.25%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.15%EV -11.21%E -5.24%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 14:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.38%EV -12.04%E -5.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.83%EV -7.95%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.21%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.83%EV -7.95%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.21%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.83%EV -7.95%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.21%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -13.32%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.86%EV -6.24%E -2.76%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:41
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.86%EV -6.24%E -2.76%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.21%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 15:24
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.70%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 14:41
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.02%EV -7.90%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:36
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.02%EV -7.90%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:36
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.93%EV -12.04%E -4.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.09%EV -13.70%E -6.59%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -10.88%E -2.98%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.89%EV -14.77%E -5.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.54%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.57%EV -9.66%E -2.61%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-13 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.12%EV -16.47%E -6.72%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -12.87%E -6.13%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.10%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-13 14:41
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.