Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys v FC Sion

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Final: BSC Young Boys 3–3 FC Sion

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prediction 40.25%2.48fair odd
EV -0.990%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.678%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.80%40.12%40.30%40.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.302.4647.62%43.11%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Sion (Visit)

Prediction 37.13%2.69fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.84%37.12%37.12%38.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.6244.44%40.37%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -0.832%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.01%22.76%22.58%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.923.924.3030.30%25.53%25.48%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BSC Young Boys (Local): 40.25%; FC Sion (Visit): 37.13%; Draw: 22.62%. For BSC Young Boys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.46, with an expected value of -0.990%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -0.990%E -0.402%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -8.65%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV -5.91%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:16
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -17.45%E -4.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -17.45%E -4.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV -2.75%E -0.639%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -17.45%E -4.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -17.45%E -4.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.49%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -4.56%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -4.33%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%EV -3.88%E -0.912%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -6.05%E -2.39%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -8.40%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.12%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.12%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:25
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.12%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:25
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -7.03%E -3.04%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.27%EV -6.79%E -2.71%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.22%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -8.40%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -8.40%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.64%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -12.92%E -3.36%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.74%EV -8.64%E -3.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.70%EV -6.42%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 14:23
BetUS🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.74%EV -8.64%E -3.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.70%EV -6.42%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.76%EV -10.25%E -4.59%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.80%EV -8.28%E -3.35%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -8.40%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 14:23
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.25%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -15.19%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.45%EV -12.66%E -5.83%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.04%EV -11.99%E -5.06%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.47%E -6.26%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.20%EV -12.73%E -5.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -10.66%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.23%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.54%EV -16.45%E -7.31%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.23%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.82%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.84%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -25.36%E -7.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%19.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.81%2.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.81%2.0%2026-05-17 14:25