La escuela de los momios

BSC Young Boys v FC Sion

Inicio: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Final: BSC Young Boys 3–3 FC Sion

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Predicción 40.25%2.48momio equitativo
EV -0.990%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.678%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.80%40.12%40.30%40.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.302.4647.62%43.11%43.48%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Sion (Visitante)

Predicción 37.13%2.69momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.84%37.12%37.12%38.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.502.6244.44%40.37%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.62%4.42momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.639%
Kelly -0.832%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.01%22.76%22.58%25.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.923.924.3030.30%25.53%25.48%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -0.990%E -0.402%K -0.678%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -8.65%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV -5.91%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:16
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -1.39%E -0.568%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -16.32%E -4.41%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -17.45%E -4.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%EV -2.20%E -0.904%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -17.45%E -4.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV -2.75%E -0.639%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -17.45%E -4.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -17.45%E -4.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.49%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.02%EV -4.56%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.49%EV -4.33%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:24
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%EV -3.88%E -0.912%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.06%EV -6.22%E -2.67%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -6.05%E -2.39%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -8.40%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.12%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.12%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:25
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.62%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.12%EV -2.71%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:25
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -7.03%E -3.04%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.27%EV -6.79%E -2.71%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.22%EV -4.78%E -1.14%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.31%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.52%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.01%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -8.40%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.91%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -8.40%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.43%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.64%EV -8.23%E -3.61%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -12.92%E -3.36%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 40.74%EV -8.64%E -3.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.70%EV -6.42%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 14:23
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 40.74%EV -8.64%E -3.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.70%EV -6.42%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 14:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.16%E -2.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -7.27%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -9.44%E -4.20%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.76%EV -10.25%E -4.59%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.80%EV -8.28%E -3.35%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.44%EV -8.40%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 14:23
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.53%E -2.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.25%EV -11.45%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -9.02%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -15.19%E -4.05%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 14:24
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.45%EV -12.66%E -5.83%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.04%EV -11.99%E -5.06%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -11.79%E -3.02%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.47%E -6.26%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.20%EV -12.73%E -5.42%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -10.66%E -2.70%K -3.61%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.23%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.54%EV -16.45%E -7.31%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.23%EV -14.06%E -3.70%K -5.02%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.82%EV -15.48%E -7.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.84%EV -10.88%E -4.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%EV -25.36%E -7.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%19.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.81%2.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.81%2.0%2026-05-17 14:25