La scuola delle quote

BSC Young Boys v FC Lugano

Inizio: 2026-03-22 15:32 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

BSC Young Boys (Casa)

Previsione 50.62%1.98quota equa
EV -2.31%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.51%50.69%50.54%52.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.841.831.9360.24%54.41%54.64%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Lugano (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.91%4.01quota equa
EV +1.39%
Vantaggio +0.342%
Kelly +0.454%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.73%24.89%24.97%27.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.603.604.0730.30%27.76%27.78%24.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.47%4.09quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.466%
Kelly -0.621%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.33%24.42%24.48%26.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.713.704.0131.25%26.98%27.03%24.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.73%EV +1.39%E +0.342%K +0.454%G +0.006%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV -1.87%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.351%E -0.088%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:29
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.351%E -0.088%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -10.41%E -5.88%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:28
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.68%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:29
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:29
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:30
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.36%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.98%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.66%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:29
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 15:28
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:29
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 15:29
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.42%E -6.53%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 15:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -10.41%E -5.88%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 15:30
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -11.42%E -6.53%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.35%EV -10.41%E -5.88%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.55%EV -11.17%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 15:28
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -13.95%E -8.21%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 15:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:30
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:30
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.43%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -21.69%E -6.78%K -9.86%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-22 15:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.42%E -6.53%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -15.30%E -4.50%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -17.79%E -5.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.13%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 15:30
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.57%EV -15.98%E -9.63%K -24.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.44%EV -17.79%E -5.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.99%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-03-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-03-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-03-22 15:30
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 51.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-03-22 15:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-03-22 15:30