L’École des cotes

BSC Young Boys v FC Lugano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 15:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

BSC Young Boys (Local)

Prévision 50.62%1.98cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.51%50.69%50.54%52.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.841.831.9360.24%54.41%54.64%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lugano (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.91%4.01cote équitable
EV +1.39%
Avantage +0.342%
Kelly +0.454%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.73%24.89%24.97%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.604.0730.30%27.76%27.78%24.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.47%4.09cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.466%
Kelly -0.621%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.33%24.42%24.48%26.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.713.704.0131.25%26.98%27.03%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.73%EV +1.39%E +0.342%K +0.454%G +0.006%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV -1.87%E -0.466%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.351%E -0.088%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:29
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -0.351%E -0.088%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 15:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -10.41%E -5.88%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 15:28
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.68%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:29
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:29
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.90%E -5.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:30
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.36%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.98%EV -5.58%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.66%EV -6.03%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 15:29
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.84%E -2.58%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 15:28
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 15:29
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 15:29
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.42%E -6.53%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 15:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 15:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 15:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -10.41%E -5.88%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -7.82%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 15:30
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:30
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 15:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -11.42%E -6.53%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.35%EV -10.41%E -5.88%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.55%EV -11.17%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 15:28
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -13.95%E -8.21%K -19.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 15:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:29
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:30
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.37%E -4.03%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 15:30
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.43%E -7.19%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -21.69%E -6.78%K -9.86%G +0.000%17.6%2026-03-22 15:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.42%E -6.53%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -15.30%E -4.50%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -2.31%E -1.20%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -16.54%E -4.94%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -17.79%E -5.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.13%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 15:30
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.57%EV -15.98%E -9.63%K -24.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.44%EV -17.79%E -5.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.99%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-22 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-03-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-03-22 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.4%2026-03-22 15:30
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 51.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.70%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%2.9%2026-03-22 15:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-03-22 15:30