Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varbergs BoIS v Östersunds FK

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prediction 42.44%2.36fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.476%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.11%42.47%42.54%45.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.3350.00%45.64%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds FK (Visit)

Prediction 27.08%3.69fair odd
EV +0.208%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.077%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%26.99%26.94%29.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.333.7032.26%29.85%30.08%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -0.960%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.427%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.30%30.53%30.52%32.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.953.2535.71%33.67%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 42.44%; Östersunds FK (Visit): 27.08%; Draw: 30.47%. For Östersunds FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.208%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +0.208%E +0.056%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.11%E -7.56%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.208%E +0.056%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.72%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.83%EV -0.063%E -0.017%K -0.023%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -1.42%E -0.389%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.76%EV -13.76%E -4.86%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.50%E -0.694%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 12:54
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 12:55
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:54
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:54
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -15.11%E -7.56%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -14.67%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.11%E -0.476%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.11%E -0.476%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.11%E -0.476%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.11%E -0.476%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -10.02%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -15.11%E -7.56%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -11.98%E -3.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -0.960%E -0.295%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:50
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.11%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.98%E -3.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 12:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:39
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:53
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -5.35%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -13.15%E -4.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 12:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.69%E -4.66%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -16.04%E -5.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:34
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -16.04%E -5.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -15.11%E -7.56%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.04%E -5.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -14.67%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-06 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-06 12:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-06 12:55