La escuela de los momios

Varbergs BoIS v Östersunds FK

Inicio: 2026-04-06 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.476%
Kelly -0.833%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.11%42.47%42.54%45.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.202.3350.00%45.64%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Predicción 27.08%3.69momio equitativo
EV +0.208%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.077%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.37%26.99%26.94%29.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.353.333.7032.26%29.85%30.08%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.47%3.28momio equitativo
EV -0.960%
Ventaja -0.295%
Kelly -0.427%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.30%30.53%30.52%32.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.972.953.2535.71%33.67%33.90%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +0.208%E +0.056%K +0.077%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -15.11%E -7.56%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV +0.208%E +0.056%K +0.077%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 43.72%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.83%EV -0.063%E -0.017%K -0.023%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.45%EV -4.62%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.77%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -1.42%E -0.389%K -0.537%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.76%EV -13.76%E -4.86%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.50%E -0.694%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 12:54
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -7.90%E -3.64%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 12:55
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:55
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -5.21%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -6.56%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 12:55
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:54
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:54
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 12:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 12:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -15.11%E -7.56%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -14.67%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.11%E -0.476%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.11%E -0.476%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.11%E -0.476%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -1.11%E -0.476%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 12:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.78%E -2.60%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -10.02%E -4.73%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -9.27%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.10%E -3.42%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 12:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:55
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -15.11%E -7.56%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 12:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -11.98%E -3.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -0.960%E -0.295%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 19:50
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.11%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.98%E -3.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 12:48
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.53%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:39
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:53
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.33%EV -5.35%E -2.40%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -13.15%E -4.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 12:55
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.33%E -4.17%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:55
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.69%E -4.66%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.05%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -16.04%E -5.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:34
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -16.04%E -5.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -15.11%E -7.56%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -16.04%E -5.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -14.67%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-04-06 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-06 12:55
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-04-06 12:55