Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varbergs BoIS v Falkenbergs FF

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 13:00 UTC

Final: Varbergs BoIS 2–1 Falkenbergs FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prediction 42.53%2.35fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.97%42.74%42.50%45.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.132.152.3050.76%46.89%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 30.36%3.29fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%30.22%30.47%31.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.053.053.2535.09%32.76%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV +0.291%
Edge +0.079%
Kelly +0.108%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.42%27.04%27.03%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.443.7032.26%29.21%29.07%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Varbergs BoIS (Local): 42.53%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 30.36%; Draw: 27.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.291%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.50%EV -8.98%E -4.20%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV +0.291%E +0.079%K +0.108%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.06%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:42
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.06%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:42
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.06%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.06%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:42
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:41
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:42
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:42
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:42
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:42
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:41
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -14.93%E -7.47%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -4.36%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 12:49
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 12:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 12:48
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -14.93%E -7.47%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 12:44
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -16.21%E -8.23%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 12:42
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.28%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 12:49
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.28%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 12:50
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.21%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 12:54
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.87%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.99%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.81%EV -7.03%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 12:50
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 12:49
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.17%E -0.945%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.17%E -0.945%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:54
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.17%E -0.945%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:54
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.17%E -0.945%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.30%EV -9.83%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 12:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 12:55
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 12:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -12.86%E -4.48%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -12.86%E -4.48%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 12:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.93%E -7.47%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-01 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.53%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -6.49%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -11.64%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 12:54
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 12:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -11.96%E -5.78%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -13.47%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-01 12:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 12:50
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-01 12:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-01 12:50

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