The School of Odds

Varbergs BoIS v Falkenbergs FF

2026-08-01 13:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Varbergs BoIS (Local)

Prediction 51.95%1.92fair odd
EV -5.45%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -6.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.22%51.95%51.95%52.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.751.8258%57%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 23.87%4.19fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.13%23.87%23.87%24.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.653.923.954.0027%26%25%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV -5.72%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.99%24.17%24.17%24.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.703.813.803.9027%26%26%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.45%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -5.45%E -2.99%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -9.28%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%EV -7.01%E -3.91%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%EV -7.01%E -3.91%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:10
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%EV -7.01%E -3.91%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:10
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.29%EV -7.01%E -3.91%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.93%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 13:10
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:10
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:10
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:10
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:10
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.14%E -2.14%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:10
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.08%E -5.19%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.86%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 13:10
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -9.60%E -5.52%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -5.70%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.35%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.31%EV -10.64%E -6.19%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 13:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.