StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Varbergs BoIS v Falkenbergs FF

Matchstart: 2026-08-01 13:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Varbergs BoIS 2–1 Falkenbergs FF

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Varbergs BoIS (Hemma)

Prognos 42.53%2.35rättvist odds
EV -2.17%
Fördel -0.945%
Kelly -1.67%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.97%42.74%42.50%45.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.972.132.152.3050.76%46.89%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Borta)

Prognos 30.36%3.29rättvist odds
EV -1.33%
Fördel -0.408%
Kelly -0.590%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.77%30.22%30.47%31.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.053.053.2535.09%32.76%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.11%3.69rättvist odds
EV +0.291%
Fördel +0.079%
Kelly +0.108%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.42%27.04%27.03%28.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.423.443.7032.26%29.21%29.07%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Varbergs BoIS (Hemma): 42.53%; Falkenbergs FF (Borta): 30.36%; Oavgjort: 27.11%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.69. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.291%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.50%EV -8.98%E -4.20%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV +0.291%E +0.079%K +0.108%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.06%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:42
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.06%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:42
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.06%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -1.33%E -0.408%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -1.06%E -0.292%K -0.402%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 12:42
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:41
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:42
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:42
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:42
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:42
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:41
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -2.85%E -0.889%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 12:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -2.42%E -0.672%K -0.931%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -14.93%E -7.47%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -4.36%E -1.39%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 12:49
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 12:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 12:48
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -14.93%E -7.47%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 12:44
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -16.21%E -8.23%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -5.13%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 12:42
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 12:45
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.28%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 12:49
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.28%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 12:50
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.21%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 12:54
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.87%E -1.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.99%EV -3.45%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.81%EV -7.03%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 12:50
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 12:49
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.44%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.17%E -0.945%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.17%E -0.945%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:54
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.17%E -0.945%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:54
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.17%E -0.945%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.30%EV -9.83%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 12:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 12:55
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 12:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -12.86%E -4.48%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -12.86%E -4.48%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 12:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.93%E -7.47%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-01 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.53%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -6.49%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -11.64%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 12:54
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 12:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 12:55
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.14%EV -11.96%E -5.78%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -13.47%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-01 12:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 12:50
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 12:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-01 12:55
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-08-01 12:50