Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandvikens IF v Norrby IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 13:00 UTC

Final: Sandvikens IF 2–2 Norrby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Prediction 43.25%2.31fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%43.63%43.27%48.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.062.102.2254.05%48.58%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norrby IF (Visit)

Prediction 29.61%3.38fair odd
EV +9.57%
Edge +2.59%
Kelly +3.55%
Growth +0.340%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%29.24%29.63%30.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.253.153.7035.71%30.75%31.75%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.893%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%27.13%27.09%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.44%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandvikens IF (Local): 43.25%; Norrby IF (Visit): 29.61%; Draw: 27.13%. For Norrby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -16.52%E -8.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +9.57%E +2.59%K +3.55%G +0.340%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -16.52%E -8.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +9.57%E +2.59%K +3.55%G +0.340%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -16.52%E -8.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +9.57%E +2.59%K +3.55%G +0.340%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -16.52%E -8.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +9.57%E +2.59%K +3.55%G +0.340%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -18.25%E -9.66%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:58
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV +6.61%E +1.84%K +2.54%G +0.168%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-30 23:58
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -19.98%E -10.80%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV +5.13%E +1.45%K +2.01%G +0.103%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:58
Coolbet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -9.60%E -4.59%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV +0.691%E +0.203%K +0.288%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -14.79%E -7.51%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -2.27%E -0.688%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 12:45
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:55
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.58%EV -5.28%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.46%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -3.95%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 12:55
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.23%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -7.87%E -3.70%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.12%EV -5.82%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.29%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.41%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.41%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 12:35
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.41%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:20
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.71%E -2.62%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.71%E -2.62%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:15
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 09:19
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:41
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 09:25
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 04:41
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 04:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 04:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 04:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 04:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 04:31
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 09:25
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.12%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 09:21
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.33%E -5.53%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -14.71%E -5.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.49%E -6.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.71%E -5.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -18.60%E -6.20%K -9.30%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-30 23:59
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.49%E -6.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.08%E -6.10%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-02 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-02 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-02 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-02 12:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-02 12:35