Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sandvikens IF v Norrby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 13:00 UTC

Score final : Sandvikens IF 2–2 Norrby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sandvikens IF (Local)

Prévision 43.25%2.31cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.49%43.63%43.27%48.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.852.062.102.2254.05%48.58%47.62%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Norrby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.61%3.38cote équitable
EV +9.57%
Avantage +2.59%
Kelly +3.55%
Croissance +0.340%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%29.24%29.63%30.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.253.153.7035.71%30.75%31.75%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.13%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -0.893%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.90%27.13%27.09%28.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.44%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sandvikens IF (Local) : 43.25% ; Norrby IF (Visiteur) : 29.61% ; Match nul : 27.13%. Pour Norrby IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.38. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +9.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -16.52%E -8.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +9.57%E +2.59%K +3.55%G +0.340%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -16.52%E -8.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +9.57%E +2.59%K +3.55%G +0.340%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -16.52%E -8.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +9.57%E +2.59%K +3.55%G +0.340%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -16.52%E -8.56%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +9.57%E +2.59%K +3.55%G +0.340%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -18.25%E -9.66%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:58
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV +8.09%E +2.22%K +3.05%G +0.247%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -18.69%E -9.94%K -21.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV +6.61%E +1.84%K +2.54%G +0.168%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-30 23:58
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -19.98%E -10.80%K -23.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV +5.13%E +1.45%K +2.01%G +0.103%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-30 23:58
Coolbet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -9.60%E -4.59%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV +0.691%E +0.203%K +0.288%G +0.002%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.32%E -0.645%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -14.79%E -7.51%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -2.27%E -0.688%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 12:45
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -11.82%E -3.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:55
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.58%EV -5.28%E -2.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.46%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -3.95%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 12:55
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.23%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.48%EV -7.87%E -3.70%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.12%EV -5.82%E -1.83%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -8.29%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.41%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.41%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 12:35
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.41%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 11:20
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.71%E -2.62%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -5.71%E -2.62%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.71%E -2.13%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -9.11%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 11:15
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 09:19
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.04%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:41
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 09:25
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.84%E -2.20%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 04:41
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.75%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 04:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 04:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 04:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 04:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -7.01%E -3.26%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.89%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 04:31
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 09:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.16%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 09:25
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.17%E -4.37%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.12%E -4.87%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 09:21
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.33%E -5.53%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -14.71%E -5.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.49%E -6.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.71%E -5.11%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -18.60%E -6.20%K -9.30%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-30 23:59
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.49%E -6.75%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.08%E -6.10%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -10.46%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-02 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-02 12:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-02 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-02 12:40
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-02 12:35