A Escola das Odds

Östersunds FK v Norrby IF

Início: 2026-04-11 15:00 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 1–1 Norrby IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Östersunds FK (Local)

Previsão 50.87%1.97odd justa
EV +5.81%
Vantagem +2.79%
Kelly +5.38%
Crescimento +0.312%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.59%50.53%50.88%53.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.841.832.0858.82%54.47%54.64%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Norrby IF (Visitante)

Previsão 21.50%4.65odd justa
EV +4.50%
Vantagem +0.927%
Kelly +1.17%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.58%21.88%21.43%26.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.454.074.104.8628.99%24.58%24.39%20.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.63%3.62odd justa
EV +0.848%
Vantagem +0.232%
Kelly +0.320%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.10%27.59%27.69%29.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.383.6533.33%29.96%29.59%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV +5.81%E +2.79%K +5.38%G +0.312%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -25.82%E -7.48%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -1.83%E -0.946%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -1.83%E -0.946%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:14
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -1.83%E -0.946%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:15
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -1.83%E -0.946%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:14
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:15
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:01
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:01
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 14:14
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.22%EV -5.39%E -2.90%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-11 14:39
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 14:54
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -10.76%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:55
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:42
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:45
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -21.52%E -5.89%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 14:14
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 14:44
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 14:45
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 52.28%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.58%EV +4.50%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.053%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV -6.61%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 14:45
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 14:40
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -7.93%E -4.38%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.04%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 14:54
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -1.09%E -0.236%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:54
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:54
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:54
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:44
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:45
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -9.46%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 14:54
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -3.24%E -0.720%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 14:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 14:54
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 14:44
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.00%E -6.94%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 14:54
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.91%EV -12.51%E -7.27%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -13.52%E -7.96%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 14:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-04-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-04-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-04-11 14:55