L’École des cotes

Östersunds FK v Norrby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 15:00 UTC

Score final : Östersunds FK 1–1 Norrby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Östersunds FK (Local)

Prévision 50.87%1.97cote équitable
EV +5.81%
Avantage +2.79%
Kelly +5.38%
Croissance +0.312%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%50.53%50.88%53.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.832.0858.82%54.47%54.64%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Norrby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.50%4.65cote équitable
EV +4.50%
Avantage +0.927%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 4.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.58%21.88%21.43%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.454.074.104.8628.99%24.58%24.39%20.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.63%3.62cote équitable
EV +0.848%
Avantage +0.232%
Kelly +0.320%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.10%27.59%27.69%29.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.383.6533.33%29.96%29.59%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV +5.81%E +2.79%K +5.38%G +0.312%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -25.82%E -7.48%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -1.83%E -0.946%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -1.83%E -0.946%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:14
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -1.83%E -0.946%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:15
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -1.83%E -0.946%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -18.29%E -4.81%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:14
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:15
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.74%EV -3.86%E -2.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 14:15
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:00
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:00
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:01
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:01
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:00
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -4.37%E -2.32%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -20.44%E -5.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 14:14
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 14:45
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.22%EV -5.39%E -2.90%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV +0.848%E +0.232%K +0.320%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-11 14:39
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 14:54
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -10.76%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 14:55
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.89%E -3.19%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:42
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:45
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:45
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 49.93%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:45
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -6.40%E -3.48%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -21.52%E -5.89%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 14:14
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 14:44
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -6.91%E -3.78%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -16.14%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 14:45
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 52.28%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.58%EV +4.50%E +0.927%K +1.17%G +0.053%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV -6.61%E -1.96%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 14:45
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.42%E -4.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 14:40
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -7.93%E -4.38%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.04%EV -4.40%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 14:54
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -1.09%E -0.236%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:54
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.30%E -0.942%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:54
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:44
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:54
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.54%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 14:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:44
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.44%E -4.69%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -13.99%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 14:45
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -9.46%E -5.31%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -11.84%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 14:54
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -3.24%E -0.720%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 14:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.48%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.80%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.20%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 14:54
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 14:44
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.98%E -6.28%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-11 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.00%E -6.94%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -19.37%E -5.16%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.11%E -5.70%K -8.56%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 14:54
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.91%EV -12.51%E -7.27%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -9.69%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -13.52%E -7.96%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -5.39%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-04-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-04-11 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-04-11 14:55