Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK v Ljungskile SK

Kickoff: 2026-08-24 17:02 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 0–0 Ljungskile SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Prediction 48.17%2.08fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -4.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.20%48.24%48.12%51.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.901.911.9856.50%52.63%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ljungskile SK (Visit)

Prediction 25.59%3.91fair odd
EV +0.330%
Edge +0.084%
Kelly +0.113%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%25.51%25.67%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.553.9230.30%28.11%28.17%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.434%
Kelly -0.592%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%26.25%26.21%27.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7530.30%28.62%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds FK (Local): 48.17%; Ljungskile SK (Visit): 25.59%; Draw: 26.23%. For Ljungskile SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.330%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.25%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.37%EV +0.330%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.38%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.31%EV -5.10%E -2.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.34%EV +0.074%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -8.71%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.03%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.03%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:34
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -14.73%E -8.32%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 16:34
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.03%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.94%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.03%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.94%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 16:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.29%EV -7.51%E -3.91%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 16:34
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -5.10%E -2.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.43%E -5.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.43%E -5.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:49
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 13:44
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 13:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:53
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:55
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:43
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 09:09
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 11:14
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.88%E -5.88%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -12.32%E -6.77%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-24 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.84%E -6.47%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -11.70%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-24 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.43%E -5.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 14:09
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.47%E -4.46%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 09:09
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 16:34
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.88%E -5.88%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.88%E -5.88%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.81%E -7.08%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.81%E -7.08%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -11.84%E -6.47%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-24 16:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:34
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-24 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-24 16:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-24 16:44
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-24 16:44