Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Östersunds FK v Ljungskile SK

Início: 2026-08-24 17:02 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 0–0 Ljungskile SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Previsão 48.17%2.08odd justa
EV -4.62%
Vantagem -2.33%
Kelly -4.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.20%48.24%48.12%51.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.901.911.9856.50%52.63%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ljungskile SK (Visitante)

Previsão 25.59%3.91odd justa
EV +0.330%
Vantagem +0.084%
Kelly +0.113%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.80%25.51%25.67%27.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.563.553.9230.30%28.11%28.17%25.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.23%3.81odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.434%
Kelly -0.592%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.12%26.25%26.21%27.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.493.503.7530.30%28.62%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Östersunds FK (Local): 48.17%; Ljungskile SK (Visitante): 25.59%; Empate: 26.23%. Para Ljungskile SK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.91. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.92, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.330%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.25%EV -4.62%E -2.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.37%EV +0.330%E +0.084%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.38%EV -8.45%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-24 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.31%EV -5.10%E -2.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.34%EV +0.074%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -8.71%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.03%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.03%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -1.46%E -0.380%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 16:34
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.09%EV -14.73%E -8.32%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -2.74%E -0.721%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 16:34
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.02%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.03%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.94%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.03%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -2.94%E -0.795%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 16:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.29%EV -7.51%E -3.91%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.30%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -8.71%E -2.50%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 16:34
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.42%EV -5.10%E -2.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -6.58%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -1.63%E -0.434%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-24 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.43%E -5.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.43%E -5.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.86%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 16:49
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.03%EV -5.83%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-24 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 13:44
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 13:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:53
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.87%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 16:55
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.92%E -5.30%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.14%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 16:29
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:43
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 16:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 09:09
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-24 11:14
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.88%E -5.88%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -12.32%E -6.77%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.42%E -2.98%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-24 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.84%E -6.47%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -11.70%E -3.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -9.50%E -2.75%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-24 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.43%E -5.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -5.56%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 14:09
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.47%E -4.46%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.19%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-24 09:09
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.99%E -4.18%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 16:34
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.88%E -5.88%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.88%E -5.88%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.81%E -7.08%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.81%E -7.08%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 16:29
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -11.84%E -6.47%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.98%E -3.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-24 16:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:34
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -15.54%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-24 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-24 16:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-24 16:44
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-08-24 16:44