Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK v Helsingborgs IF

Kickoff: 2026-09-14 17:05 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 1–0 Helsingborgs IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Prediction 58.91%1.70fair odd
EV +0.149%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.213%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.25%58.76%58.73%61.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.591.571.7068.03%62.99%63.69%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visit)

Prediction 17.40%5.75fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +0.454%
Kelly +0.547%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.55%17.44%17.39%21.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.045.005.9023.81%19.86%20.00%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.69%4.22fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.852%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%23.80%23.88%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.783.754.1128.17%26.44%26.67%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds FK (Local): 58.91%; Helsingborgs IF (Visit): 17.40%; Draw: 23.69%. For Helsingborgs IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.75. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -9.28%E -6.02%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +2.68%E +0.454%K +0.547%G +0.015%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.56%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.31%EV +1.46%E +0.250%K +0.302%G +0.004%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.13%EV -2.65%E -0.645%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -13.40%E -9.12%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV +0.938%E +0.162%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 16:46
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.803%E -0.141%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.58%EV -5.97%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.54%E -0.454%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.54%E -0.454%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:01
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.54%E -0.454%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:01
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.54%E -0.454%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.89%E -0.704%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 17:01
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.76%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.81%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.76%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.81%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.65%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -7.76%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.98%EV -9.05%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 16:41
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 16:35
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -9.50%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -12.22%E -8.20%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -9.50%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 16:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 16:41
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.63%E -7.76%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -14.73%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.50%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -14.73%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV +0.149%E +0.088%K +0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -21.69%E -4.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV +0.149%E +0.088%K +0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -21.69%E -4.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV +0.149%E +0.088%K +0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -21.69%E -4.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV +0.149%E +0.088%K +0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -21.69%E -4.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:56
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.25%EV -3.39%E -2.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -15.92%E -4.48%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -26.91%E -6.41%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 16:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -26.91%E -6.41%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-09-14 16:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-14 16:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-14 16:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-14 16:41