Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östersunds FK v Helsingborgs IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 17:05 UTC

Score final : Östersunds FK 1–0 Helsingborgs IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Prévision 58.91%1.70cote équitable
EV +0.149%
Avantage +0.088%
Kelly +0.213%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.25%58.76%58.73%61.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.591.571.7068.03%62.99%63.69%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.40%5.75cote équitable
EV +2.68%
Avantage +0.454%
Kelly +0.547%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.55%17.44%17.39%21.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.205.045.005.9023.81%19.86%20.00%16.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -0.852%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.00%23.80%23.88%25.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.783.754.1128.17%26.44%26.67%24.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Östersunds FK (Local) : 58.91% ; Helsingborgs IF (Visiteur) : 17.40% ; Match nul : 23.69%. Pour Helsingborgs IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.75. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.90, soit une espérance positive de +2.68%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.39%EV -9.28%E -6.02%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.76%EV +2.68%E +0.454%K +0.547%G +0.015%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.56%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.31%EV +1.46%E +0.250%K +0.302%G +0.004%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.13%EV -2.65%E -0.645%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 16:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -13.40%E -9.12%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV +0.938%E +0.162%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 16:46
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -0.803%E -0.141%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.58%EV -5.97%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.54%E -0.454%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.54%E -0.454%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:01
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.54%E -0.454%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:01
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -2.54%E -0.454%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.89%E -0.704%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 17:01
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.28%E -0.779%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-14 16:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.76%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.81%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.76%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.81%E -2.29%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-14 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.65%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -7.76%E -1.46%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.98%EV -9.05%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 16:41
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-14 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -8.63%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 16:35
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.12%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -9.50%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -12.22%E -8.20%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.85%EV -9.50%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 16:40
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.26%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.59%EV -6.33%E -3.98%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 16:41
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.63%E -7.76%K -23.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.98%E -2.60%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -9.99%E -2.63%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-14 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.16%EV -6.92%E -4.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.43%EV -14.73%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-14 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.50%EV -7.51%E -4.78%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV -14.73%E -3.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.18%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV +0.149%E +0.088%K +0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -21.69%E -4.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV +0.149%E +0.088%K +0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -21.69%E -4.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV +0.149%E +0.088%K +0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -21.69%E -4.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV +0.149%E +0.088%K +0.213%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -21.69%E -4.82%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.62%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 16:56
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.50%EV -2.21%E -1.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.36%E -3.34%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 16:56
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.25%EV -3.39%E -2.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -25.17%E -5.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -15.92%E -4.48%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -26.91%E -6.41%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 16:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -5.74%E -3.59%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -26.91%E -6.41%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -14.73%E -4.09%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-14 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-09-14 16:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-14 16:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-14 16:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.52%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-14 16:41