Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK v GIF Sundsvall

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 17:00 UTC

Final: Östersunds FK 1–0 GIF Sundsvall

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östersunds FK (Local)

Prediction 66.00%1.52fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -6.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.16%65.93%66.02%68.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.401.4775.76%71.43%71.43%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GIF Sundsvall (Visit)

Prediction 12.51%7.99fair odd
EV +8.13%
Edge +0.940%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 8.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.98%12.66%12.46%14.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.037.008.6416.67%14.22%14.29%11.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.48%4.65fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.496%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.06%21.42%21.52%22.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.264.5525.00%23.58%23.47%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds FK (Local): 66.00%; GIF Sundsvall (Visit): 12.51%; Draw: 21.48%. For GIF Sundsvall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.99. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.80%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 10.98%EV +8.13%E +0.940%K +1.06%G +0.086%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.22%EV -8.27%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 16:51
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.66%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +0.116%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +0.116%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +0.116%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 16:55
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +0.116%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 16:56
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV +0.116%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +0.116%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.33%E -0.740%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV +0.116%E +0.015%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -3.33%E -0.740%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.37%EV -12.88%E -9.75%K -40.24%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.57%EV -2.39%E -0.306%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -3.33%E -0.740%K -0.951%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.96%E -3.44%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.38%EV -3.64%E -0.473%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -4.40%E -0.990%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 06:55
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.07%EV -6.94%E -4.92%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.26%EV -4.89%E -0.643%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -6.14%E -0.819%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.48%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -12.22%E -9.18%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -6.14%E -0.819%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -6.98%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -12.22%E -9.18%K -37.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -6.14%E -0.819%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.69%EV -6.98%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 16:45
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -6.14%E -0.819%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 16:30
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -6.14%E -0.819%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -6.14%E -0.819%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -6.14%E -0.819%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.94%E -4.92%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -7.39%E -0.999%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -8.70%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.53%EV -6.94%E -4.92%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -8.64%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.62%EV -2.26%E -0.496%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.53%EV -6.94%E -4.92%K -16.92%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV -8.64%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.62%EV -2.26%E -0.496%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.28%E -4.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -12.40%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -3.33%E -0.740%K -0.951%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 16:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -12.40%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 16:31
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -12.40%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -12.40%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.70%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -12.40%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -6.98%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-07 16:56
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -10.24%E -7.53%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -12.40%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.86%EV -11.56%E -8.62%K -33.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -12.40%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-07 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.33%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -15.53%E -2.30%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -6.98%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.90%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -15.53%E -2.30%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -15.53%E -2.30%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -2.98%E -2.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -18.66%E -2.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -2.98%E -2.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -18.66%E -2.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -2.98%E -2.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -18.66%E -2.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -2.98%E -2.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -18.66%E -2.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -7.63%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 16:15
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -18.66%E -2.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 16:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -18.66%E -2.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 15:35
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -18.66%E -2.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.77%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 15:30
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.66%E -3.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.66%E -3.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 09:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.66%E -3.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.66%E -3.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.66%E -3.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 08:59
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.16%EV -5.62%E -3.93%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -23.66%E -3.88%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.34%EV -6.94%E -4.92%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -24.91%E -4.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -11.92%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-06 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -7.60%E -5.43%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -24.91%E -4.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-03 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.49%EV -8.92%E -6.46%K -23.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -24.91%E -4.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-06 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.49%EV -8.92%E -6.46%K -23.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -24.91%E -4.15%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -14.07%E -3.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-06 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-08-07 16:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-08-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.63%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-08-07 16:55
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.78%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-08-07 16:56

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.