Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.23
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östersunds FK (Local): 44.48%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 28.17%; Draw: 27.35%. For Falkenbergs FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.24%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.54%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV +4.24%E +1.15%K +1.57%G +0.067% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.70%EV -12.22%E -3.81%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV +1.43%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.86%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV +1.43%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.86%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV +1.43%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.86%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.22%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.12%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -17.96%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.55%E -0.431%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.29%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.43%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.55%E -0.431%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.00%EV -9.00%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.29%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -15.04%E -7.88%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -0.810%E -0.363%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -0.810%E -0.363%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -0.810%E -0.363%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -0.810%E -0.363%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.02%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.29%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.02%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 10:58 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.02%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.17%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 10:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.24%E -7.38%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.12%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -16.89%E -5.72%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:59 |