La scuola delle quote

Östersunds FK v Falkenbergs FF

Inizio: 2026-05-09 11:02 UTC

Finale: Östersunds FK 2–2 Falkenbergs FF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Östersunds FK (Casa)

Previsione 44.48%2.25quota equa
EV -0.810%
Vantaggio -0.363%
Kelly -0.659%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.06%44.39%44.52%45.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.102.102.2352.36%47.60%47.62%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Falkenbergs FF (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.17%3.55quota equa
EV +4.24%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescita +0.067%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.76%28.03%28.23%30.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.203.203.7033.90%31.30%31.25%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.35%3.66quota equa
EV -1.55%
Vantaggio -0.431%
Kelly -0.597%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.78%27.57%27.25%30.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.333.353.6034.72%30.00%29.85%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.54%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV +4.24%E +1.15%K +1.57%G +0.067%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.70%EV -12.22%E -3.81%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 10:59
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV +1.43%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.86%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:59
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV +1.43%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.86%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:59
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV +1.43%E +0.396%K +0.548%G +0.008%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -13.86%E -4.40%K -6.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:59
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.48%E -3.60%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -1.39%E -0.398%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 10:59
Coolbet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.22%EV -3.92%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 10:59
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.12%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 10:59
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.62%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -17.96%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 10:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.55%E -0.431%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 11:00
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 10:59
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 10:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.29%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:59
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 11:00
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 10:59
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.43%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.55%E -0.431%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 11:00
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.77%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.00%EV -9.00%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.23%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 10:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.29%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 10:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.02%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 10:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 10:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 10:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 10:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 10:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -15.04%E -7.88%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -9.84%E -3.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 10:59
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -0.810%E -0.363%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -0.810%E -0.363%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -0.810%E -0.363%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:59
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -0.810%E -0.363%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:59
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 11:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.02%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 10:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -4.29%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 10:59
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.02%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 10:58
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.02%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 10:59
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.08%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 11:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:00
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:00
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 10:59
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 10:59
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:00
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 11:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -3.03%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 10:59
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.17%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 10:46
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.26%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.24%E -7.38%K -11.30%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 10:59
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.12%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -16.89%E -5.72%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.76%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-05-09 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-09 10:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-09 10:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-05-09 10:59