Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östers IF v Sandvikens IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Final: Östers IF 1–0 Sandvikens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östers IF (Local)

Prediction 47.36%2.11fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.64%47.63%47.41%51.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.911.912.0255.25%52.29%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandvikens IF (Visit)

Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV +8.99%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +2.90%
Growth +0.261%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.27%26.29%26.57%27.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.494.1030.77%28.29%28.65%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -0.838%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%26.07%26.02%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.553.7532.26%28.64%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östers IF (Local): 47.36%; Sandvikens IF (Visit): 26.58%; Draw: 26.05%. For Sandvikens IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -11.90%E -6.40%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV +8.99%E +2.19%K +2.90%G +0.261%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -10.96%E -5.83%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +2.35%E +0.610%K +0.823%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -10.96%E -5.83%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +2.35%E +0.610%K +0.823%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -10.96%E -5.83%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +2.35%E +0.610%K +0.823%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -10.96%E -5.83%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +2.35%E +0.610%K +0.823%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:31
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:31
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:31
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:31
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:31
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -13.32%E -7.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 16:31
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.84%EV -14.27%E -7.88%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -1.64%E -0.443%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:30
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.45%EV -4.80%E -2.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.42%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.32%E -7.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-13 16:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.21%EV -5.89%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.21%EV -7.77%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 14:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 16:35
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.00%EV -5.75%E -2.89%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -6.73%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.27%E -2.64%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 11:00
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 16:46
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 11:25
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.838%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 13:09
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 11:11
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:31
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 11:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-13 13:19
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 13:11
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:55
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 16:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -13.32%E -7.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -19.24%E -6.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-13 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.68%EV -11.43%E -6.11%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -13.60%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-13 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-13 16:56
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-13 16:56