La escuela de los momios

Östers IF v Sandvikens IF

Inicio: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Final: Östers IF 1–0 Sandvikens IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Östers IF (Local)

Predicción 47.36%2.11momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -4.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.64%47.63%47.41%51.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.911.912.0255.25%52.29%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandvikens IF (Visitante)

Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV +8.99%
Ventaja +2.19%
Kelly +2.90%
Crecimiento +0.261%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.27%26.29%26.57%27.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.533.494.1030.77%28.29%28.65%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.614%
Kelly -0.838%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.84%26.07%26.02%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.553.7532.26%28.64%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.29%EV -11.90%E -6.40%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.27%EV +8.99%E +2.19%K +2.90%G +0.261%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 17:39
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -10.96%E -5.83%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +2.35%E +0.610%K +0.823%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -10.96%E -5.83%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +2.35%E +0.610%K +0.823%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:31
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -10.96%E -5.83%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +2.35%E +0.610%K +0.823%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:30
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -10.96%E -5.83%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +2.35%E +0.610%K +0.823%G +0.019%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 16:31
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:30
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:30
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:31
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:31
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:31
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 16:31
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -13.32%E -7.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -0.312%E -0.083%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 16:31
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.84%EV -14.27%E -7.88%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -1.64%E -0.443%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:30
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.45%EV -4.80%E -2.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.42%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:40
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 16:35
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.32%E -7.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-13 16:41
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:49
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.21%EV -5.89%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.21%EV -7.77%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 14:49
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 16:35
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.00%EV -5.75%E -2.89%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -6.73%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 16:55
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -5.27%E -2.64%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -4.91%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 11:00
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 16:46
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.21%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 11:25
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:25
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 11:25
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.838%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 12:55
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 13:20
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-13 13:09
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 11:11
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:31
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.42%E -3.36%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 13:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 11:05
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.53%E -4.99%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.82%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-13 13:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 13:11
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.64%E -3.92%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 12:55
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -12.38%E -6.69%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 16:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -13.32%E -7.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -12.27%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -19.24%E -6.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-13 13:00
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.68%EV -11.43%E -6.11%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -13.60%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -14.03%E -4.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-13 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-13 16:56
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-05-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-13 16:56