Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östers IF v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Final: Östers IF 1–2 Nordic United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östers IF (Local)

Prediction 30.95%3.23fair odd
EV -0.951%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.432%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%31.16%30.81%33.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.902.903.2038.02%34.49%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 43.31%2.31fair odd
EV +0.040%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.030%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.77%43.12%43.39%45.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.142.3150.00%46.58%46.73%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.576%
Kelly -0.781%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.71%25.80%26.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.8030.30%28.22%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östers IF (Local): 30.95%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 43.31%; Draw: 25.74%. For Nordic United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.309. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.310, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.040%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.31%EV +0.040%E +0.017%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 12:39
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 12:40
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:09
BetUS🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.66%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.69%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.65%EV -3.99%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:10
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 13:15
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 30.95%EV -6.83%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.73%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -16.43%E -6.08%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.95%EV -6.02%E -2.78%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.92%EV -6.46%E -2.99%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:29
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -2.50%E -0.793%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.05%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:40
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.18%EV -18.59%E -7.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.77%EV -7.32%E -3.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-04 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.18%EV -18.59%E -7.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.77%EV -7.32%E -3.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-04 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 13:55
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:15
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:04
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:04
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.86%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.69%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 14:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:09
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -0.951%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -9.92%E -4.77%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.47%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -0.951%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -9.92%E -4.77%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.47%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:55
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -0.951%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -9.92%E -4.77%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.47%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.86%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:15
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.39%E -6.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-04 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.39%E -6.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-04 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-09-04 14:35