Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östers IF v Nordic United FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : Östers IF 1–2 Nordic United FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östers IF (Local)

Prévision 30.95%3.23cote équitable
EV -0.951%
Avantage -0.297%
Kelly -0.432%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.48%31.16%30.81%33.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.902.903.2038.02%34.49%34.48%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.31%2.31cote équitable
EV +0.040%
Avantage +0.017%
Kelly +0.030%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.77%43.12%43.39%45.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.142.3150.00%46.58%46.73%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.74%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.576%
Kelly -0.781%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.71%25.80%26.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.543.553.8030.30%28.22%28.17%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Östers IF (Local) : 30.95% ; Nordic United FC (Visiteur) : 43.31% ; Match nul : 25.74%. Pour Nordic United FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.309. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.310, soit une espérance positive de +0.040%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.31%EV +0.040%E +0.017%K +0.030%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.10%EV -1.26%E -0.552%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 12:39
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 12:40
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:10
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -4.72%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:09
BetUS🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.66%EV -3.43%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.69%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.65%EV -3.99%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:10
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.65%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.73%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -4.25%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 13:15
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 30.95%EV -6.83%E -2.27%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.73%EV -5.59%E -2.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.32%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -16.43%E -6.08%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.95%EV -6.02%E -2.78%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.92%EV -6.46%E -2.99%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:29
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -2.50%E -0.793%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.05%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:40
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -6.89%E -3.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.18%EV -18.59%E -7.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.77%EV -7.32%E -3.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-04 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.18%EV -18.59%E -7.07%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.77%EV -7.32%E -3.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-04 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -8.19%E -3.86%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 13:55
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.781%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:15
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:04
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:04
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -11.78%E -4.13%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -10.86%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.69%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 14:10
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:09
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.24%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.31%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -0.951%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -9.92%E -4.77%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.47%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -0.951%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -9.92%E -4.77%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.47%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:55
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -0.951%E -0.297%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -9.92%E -4.77%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.47%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -10.86%E -3.77%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -13.33%E -4.76%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -11.22%E -5.47%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:15
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.39%E -6.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-04 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -14.88%E -5.41%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -13.39%E -6.69%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-04 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-09-04 14:35