Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östers IF v IFK Värnamo

Kickoff: 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC

Final: Östers IF 3–0 IFK Värnamo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Östers IF (Local)

Prediction 47.14%2.12fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.18%47.26%47.14%49.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.952.0554.64%51.74%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visit)

Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV +0.678%
Edge +0.183%
Kelly +0.251%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.06%27.21%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.7032.26%29.47%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.74%25.68%25.65%28.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.563.603.8033.33%28.10%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Östers IF (Local): 47.14%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 27.21%; Draw: 25.65%. For IFK Värnamo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.678%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.14%EV -8.56%E -4.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV +0.678%E +0.183%K +0.251%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.52%E -0.662%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 10:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.04%E -0.568%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.04%E -0.568%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 04:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.04%E -0.568%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 04:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.04%E -0.568%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 04:09
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.99%EV -4.31%E -2.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -3.95%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.99%EV -5.85%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 15:48
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -10.91%E -5.77%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-08 04:09
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-08 04:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.74%E -7.51%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-09 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.12%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.12%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -12.80%E -6.92%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.12%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-08 04:09
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.78%EV -6.20%E -3.12%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -6.40%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.15%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 15:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.40%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 15:19
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:19
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 11:20
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-09 15:50
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-09 15:18
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-09 15:19
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.49%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 15:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 12:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-09 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-09 12:09
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 12:59
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-09 15:49
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-09 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-09 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.80%E -6.92%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -13.74%E -7.51%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -23.04%E -7.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%18.7%2026-06-09 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-09 15:50
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.74%E -7.51%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.5%2026-06-09 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%1.3%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-06-09 15:50