Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östers IF v IFK Värnamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-09 17:00 UTC

Score final : Östers IF 3–0 IFK Värnamo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Östers IF (Local)

Prévision 47.14%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.18%47.26%47.14%49.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.952.0554.64%51.74%51.28%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.21%3.68cote équitable
EV +0.678%
Avantage +0.183%
Kelly +0.251%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%27.06%27.21%28.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.7032.26%29.47%29.41%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.65%3.90cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.662%
Kelly -0.898%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.74%25.68%25.65%28.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.563.603.8033.33%28.10%27.78%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Östers IF (Local) : 47.14% ; IFK Värnamo (Visiteur) : 27.21% ; Match nul : 25.65%. Pour IFK Värnamo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +0.678%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.14%EV -8.56%E -4.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV +0.678%E +0.183%K +0.251%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.52%E -0.662%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 10:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.04%E -0.568%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.04%E -0.568%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 04:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.04%E -0.568%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 04:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -9.03%E -4.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.04%E -0.568%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 04:09
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.99%EV -4.31%E -2.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -3.95%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.99%EV -5.85%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-09 15:19
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 15:48
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.60%EV -10.91%E -5.77%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-08 04:09
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.36%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 04:09
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -11.38%E -6.06%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-08 04:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -13.74%E -7.51%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.76%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-09 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.12%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.79%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.12%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-09 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -12.80%E -6.92%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.12%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-08 04:09
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.78%EV -6.20%E -3.12%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.06%EV -6.40%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.15%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 15:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.14%E -3.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.40%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -8.67%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-09 15:19
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:19
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 15:19
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-09 11:20
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-09 15:50
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-09 15:18
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.93%E -2.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-09 15:19
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.49%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-09 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.08%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-09 15:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 12:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-09 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.65%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-09 12:09
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-09 12:59
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-09 15:49
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-09 15:19
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-09 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.34%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-09 15:19
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -12.80%E -6.92%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -13.74%E -7.51%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -23.04%E -7.68%K -11.52%G +0.000%18.7%2026-06-09 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.78%E -3.76%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-09 15:50
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.09%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-09 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.74%E -7.51%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -10.21%E -2.92%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.5%2026-06-09 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.00%1.3%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-06-09 15:50