Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK v Norrby IF

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK (Local)

Prediction 46.60%2.15fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%46.94%46.45%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.952.0555.56%51.81%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norrby IF (Visit)

Prediction 27.08%3.69fair odd
EV +5.60%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.108%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%26.78%27.24%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.453.9032.26%28.59%28.99%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.470%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.28%26.31%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.68%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro SK (Local): 46.60%; Norrby IF (Visit): 27.08%; Draw: 26.32%. For Norrby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -10.99%E -5.75%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV +5.60%E +1.44%K +1.93%G +0.108%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.61%E -0.705%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -12.39%E -6.59%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -12.39%E -6.59%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -12.39%E -6.59%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -12.39%E -6.59%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -14.25%E -7.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 10:25
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:30
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV +1.54%E +0.410%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -16.12%E -8.95%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV +0.182%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.79%E -7.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -2.53%E -0.702%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 11:35
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -8.19%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.27%EV -3.34%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.12%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:40
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.16%EV -3.61%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.31%EV -6.82%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.74%EV -9.59%E -4.94%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -3.88%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -6.82%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:54
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:04
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 07:15
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 16:27
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:14
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:13
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.00%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.29%E -0.345%K -0.470%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.36%E -4.17%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 07:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.36%E -4.17%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 16:19
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.36%E -4.17%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 16:19
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -16.06%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 07:15
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.99%E -5.75%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -16.06%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 12:44
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.06%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 07:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -10.99%E -5.75%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -16.06%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.03%E -7.01%K -10.52%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 07:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 54.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 20.28%2.76I 36.23%NM 24.99%45.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 54.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 20.28%2.76I 36.23%NM 24.99%45.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 54.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 20.28%2.76I 36.23%NM 24.99%45.0%2026-04-24 03:20