La escuela de los momios

Örebro SK v Norrby IF

Inicio: 2026-04-25 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Predicción 46.60%2.15momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.39%46.94%46.45%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.931.952.0555.56%51.81%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Norrby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 27.08%3.69momio equitativo
EV +5.60%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.93%
Crecimiento +0.108%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.20%26.78%27.24%28.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.453.9032.26%28.59%28.99%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.32%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.470%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%26.28%26.31%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.68%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -10.99%E -5.75%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV +5.60%E +1.44%K +1.93%G +0.108%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.61%E -0.705%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -12.39%E -6.59%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 10:25
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -12.39%E -6.59%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 10:25
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -12.39%E -6.59%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 10:30
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -12.39%E -6.59%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV +4.24%E +1.10%K +1.49%G +0.063%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.93%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 10:30
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -14.25%E -7.75%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 10:25
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:25
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:30
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV +2.89%E +0.760%K +1.03%G +0.030%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 10:30
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -14.72%E -8.04%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV +1.54%E +0.410%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 10:25
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -16.12%E -8.95%K -20.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV +0.182%E +0.049%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.79%E -7.45%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -2.53%E -0.702%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 11:35
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -8.19%E -4.16%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.27%EV -3.34%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.12%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:40
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -8.66%E -4.42%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.16%EV -3.61%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.31%EV -6.82%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:34
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.74%EV -9.59%E -4.94%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -3.88%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -6.82%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 11:28
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:44
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 21:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.19%E -2.66%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:54
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.47%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:04
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.94%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 07:15
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 16:27
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 16:20
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:14
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.87%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:13
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 16:20
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:04
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:05
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.65%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -14.45%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 15:04
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.00%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.29%E -0.345%K -0.470%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.80%E -3.40%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.36%E -4.17%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 07:13
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.36%E -4.17%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 16:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.36%E -4.17%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.14%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 16:19
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.13%E -4.68%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -16.06%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 07:15
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.99%E -5.75%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -16.06%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 12:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -11.46%E -6.03%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.06%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 07:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -10.99%E -5.75%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -16.06%E -5.18%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.03%E -7.01%K -10.52%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-23 07:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 54.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 20.28%2.76I 36.23%NM 24.99%45.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 54.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 20.28%2.76I 36.23%NM 24.99%45.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 54.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 20.28%2.76I 36.23%NM 24.99%45.0%2026-04-24 03:20