Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK v IK Oddevold

Kickoff: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Final: Örebro SK 0–0 IK Oddevold

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örebro SK (Local)

Prediction 35.13%2.85fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.406%
Kelly +0.622%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.38%34.96%35.15%36.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.672.652.8841.67%37.50%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Oddevold (Visit)

Prediction 37.45%2.67fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%37.60%37.41%40.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.412.452.6244.84%41.43%40.82%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.67%27.44%27.44%28.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.403.5532.26%29.99%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örebro SK (Local): 35.13%; IK Oddevold (Visit): 37.45%; Draw: 27.42%. For Örebro SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV +1.17%E +0.406%K +0.622%G +0.007%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -13.11%E -5.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV +1.17%E +0.406%K +0.622%G +0.007%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -13.11%E -5.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV +1.17%E +0.406%K +0.622%G +0.007%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -13.11%E -5.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV +1.17%E +0.406%K +0.622%G +0.007%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -13.11%E -5.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 15:30
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +0.115%E +0.040%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -14.61%E -6.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:31
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +0.115%E +0.040%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -14.61%E -6.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +0.115%E +0.040%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -14.61%E -6.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +0.115%E +0.040%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -14.61%E -6.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +0.115%E +0.040%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -14.61%E -6.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:31
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +0.115%E +0.040%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -14.61%E -6.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:30
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV +0.115%E +0.040%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -14.61%E -6.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -1.64%E -0.586%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -14.61%E -6.41%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 05:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -3.40%E -1.24%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -16.48%E -7.39%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 15:31
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.64%EV -4.45%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.81%EV -4.12%E -1.61%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.64%EV -4.45%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.81%EV -4.12%E -1.61%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.64%EV -4.45%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.81%EV -4.12%E -1.61%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -4.45%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.15%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.36%EV -4.45%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.15%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.20%EV -4.80%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.88%E -0.716%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.39%EV -7.87%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -5.15%E -1.91%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 16:35
Coolbet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -5.86%E -2.19%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -5.62%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -2.66%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.50%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.62%EV -5.25%E -2.07%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.42%EV -10.61%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.91%E -2.61%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 16:46
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.55%EV -7.61%E -2.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.11%EV -5.62%E -2.23%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -6.22%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 16:34
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 16:40
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.96%E -3.04%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 16:45
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -13.63%E -4.33%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.67%E -3.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-27 13:44
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:48
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 16:35
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.42%E -4.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 16:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.00%E -4.84%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:46
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.00%E -4.84%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.00%E -4.84%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.00%E -4.84%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-27 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-27 16:36
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.26%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-27 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -12.18%E -4.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -13.63%E -4.33%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-27 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -15.69%E -6.54%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-27 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-07-27 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-07-27 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-07-27 16:45
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-07-27 16:50