La escuela de los momios

Örebro SK v IK Oddevold

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örebro SK (Local)

Predicción 33.75%2.96momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.30%33.67%33.65%34.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.752.8540.00%36.58%36.36%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Oddevold (Visitante)

Predicción 39.28%2.55momio equitativo
EV -5.72%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -4.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.49%39.33%39.32%41.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.302.4045.45%43.10%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.97%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.61%27.00%27.02%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.59%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.06%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -2.90%E -0.805%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -8.47%E -3.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.95%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 05:15
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -8.47%E -3.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.95%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 05:15
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -8.47%E -3.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.95%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 05:15
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.79%EV -3.82%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.11%EV -8.47%E -3.64%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.95%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 05:15
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -4.84%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.72%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.34%E -3.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 20:05
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -4.84%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.72%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.34%E -3.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 20:05
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 33.47%EV -5.17%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.35%EV -6.12%E -2.56%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.72%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 17:05
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:14
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:15
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:15
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:15
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:15
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 05:15
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.08%EV -10.44%E -4.58%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.64%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 05:14
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -13.58%E -6.17%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 20:20
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.85%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 18:05
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.72%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 06:20
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.19%E -2.23%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.72%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 06:20
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 33.46%EV -6.52%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.28%EV -7.30%E -3.09%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 18:00
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.90%E -0.805%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 17:05
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.64%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 17:33
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.64%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 17:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.62%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 05:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.90%E -0.805%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 17:00
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 17:33
betano_uk2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 17:35
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.72%E -2.39%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -6.95%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 17:00
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 17:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 03:15
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.39%E -5.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 17:30
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.39%E -5.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.39%E -5.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 17:30
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -16.39%E -5.29%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.57%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.69%E -3.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 19:50
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.57%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.51%E -2.74%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 17:04
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.57%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.64%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 06:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -10.57%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.62%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.34%E -3.80%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 17:35
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.59%E -4.42%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.60%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 19:49
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -12.26%E -4.72%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 19:50
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.26%E -4.72%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.26%E -4.72%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.65%E -4.20%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -10.99%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 17:05
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.26%E -4.72%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.62%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 17:00
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -13.95%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.58%E -6.17%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-23 19:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -15.63%E -6.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.58%E -6.17%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-23 19:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.27%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.09%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%5.7%2026-07-26 02:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.27%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.09%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%5.7%2026-07-26 02:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 34.27%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.09%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.64%5.7%2026-07-26 02:30