Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 15:02 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 0–0 Nordic United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 34.37%2.91fair odd
EV +3.11%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%34.15%34.48%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.743.0040.00%36.30%36.50%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 39.12%2.56fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.77%39.35%38.93%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.312.302.4746.30%43.36%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.51%3.77fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.50%26.60%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.453.6033.33%29.14%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norrby IF (Local): 34.37%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 39.12%; Draw: 26.51%. For Norrby IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.55%G +0.048%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.55%G +0.048%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 14:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.55%G +0.048%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.55%G +0.048%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 14:59
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 15:00
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 14:59
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 14:59
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 15:00
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 14:59
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -0.329%E -0.114%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-21 14:46
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.353%K -0.541%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.59%EV -15.49%E -7.17%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:58
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-21 15:00
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.14%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.66%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75%EV -5.37%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:59
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 15:00
BetUS🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:59
BetAnything🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 15:00
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.24%EV -6.17%E -2.26%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.48%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 14:59
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 14:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 14:59
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 14:59
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-21 14:59
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-21 14:59
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-21 14:59
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-21 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-21 14:59
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-21 14:59
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-21 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-21 14:59
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-21 14:59
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-21 14:59
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.9%2026-06-21 14:59
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.8%2026-06-21 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.48%E -6.83%K -10.24%G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-21 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-06-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-06-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-06-21 15:00