La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Norrby IF v Nordic United FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Norrby IF (Local)
Predicción 34.37%2.91momio equitativo
EV +3.11%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.17%34.15%34.48%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.743.0040.00%36.30%36.50%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nordic United FC (Visitante)
Predicción 39.12%2.56momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.77%39.35%38.93%41.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.162.312.302.4746.30%43.36%43.48%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.51%3.77momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.49%26.50%26.60%28.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.453.6033.33%29.14%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.55%G +0.048% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.55%G +0.048% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.55%G +0.048% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV +3.11%E +1.04%K +1.55%G +0.048% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV +1.39%E +0.471%K +0.712%G +0.010% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -0.329%E -0.114%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-21 14:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.353%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.59%EV -15.49%E -7.17%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.11%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.58%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.14%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.66%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75%EV -5.37%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| BetUS | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -5.83%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.65%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.24%EV -6.17%E -2.26%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.48%EV -6.43%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.79%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Everygame | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.48%E -6.83%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-06-21 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.58% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 15:00 |