Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF v Helsingborgs IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 13:02 UTC

Final: Norrby IF 3–3 Helsingborgs IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Norrby IF (Local)

Prediction 41.80%2.39fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.091%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.31%41.62%41.93%43.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.4848.78%44.83%44.44%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visit)

Prediction 30.56%3.27fair odd
EV +0.849%
Edge +0.257%
Kelly +0.369%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.47%30.77%30.36%34.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.883.3036.36%33.97%34.72%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.64%3.62fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.61%27.72%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.323.5034.72%30.35%30.12%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norrby IF (Local): 41.80%; Helsingborgs IF (Visit): 30.56%; Draw: 27.64%. For Norrby IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +3.66%E +1.48%K +2.47%G +0.091%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -15.96%E -5.80%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.26%E -0.930%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 12:48
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 12:59
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 12:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 12:59
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -15.96%E -5.80%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.02%EV -7.21%E -3.25%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -0.679%E -0.209%K -0.302%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.60%EV -4.36%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:54
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 12:59
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 12:59
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.71%EV -8.46%E -3.86%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -4.04%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.54%EV -8.88%E -4.07%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -4.04%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.41%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -4.65%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.26%E -0.930%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:58
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 12:59
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 12:59
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -10.55%E -4.93%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.849%E +0.257%K +0.369%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -10.55%E -4.93%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.849%E +0.257%K +0.369%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -12.22%E -5.82%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -12.29%E -4.28%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -17.08%E -5.69%K -8.54%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.22%E -5.82%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.39%E -7.08%K -10.85%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 12:59
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.51%EV -14.31%E -6.98%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-05-09 13:00