La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Norrby IF v Helsingborgs IF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Norrby IF (Local)
Predicción 41.80%2.39momio equitativo
EV +3.66%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +2.47%
Crecimiento +0.091%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.31%41.62%41.93%43.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.252.4848.78%44.83%44.44%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Helsingborgs IF (Visitante)
Predicción 30.56%3.27momio equitativo
EV +0.849%
Ventaja +0.257%
Kelly +0.369%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.47%30.77%30.36%34.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.883.3036.36%33.97%34.72%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.64%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -0.930%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.61%27.72%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.323.5034.72%30.35%30.12%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +3.66%E +1.48%K +2.47%G +0.091% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -15.96%E -5.80%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.26%E -0.930%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -1.77%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:48 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -5.95%E -2.65%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -15.96%E -5.80%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.02%EV -7.21%E -3.25%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -0.679%E -0.209%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.60%EV -4.36%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.85%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 12:54 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -8.04%E -3.66%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.71%EV -8.46%E -3.86%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.79%EV -4.04%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.54%EV -8.88%E -4.07%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.53%EV -4.04%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -8.23%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.41%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -4.65%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.26%E -0.930%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 12:58 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -6.79%E -2.23%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.17%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.32%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.31%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -10.55%E -4.93%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.849%E +0.257%K +0.369%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -10.55%E -4.93%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.849%E +0.257%K +0.369%G +0.003% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.12%EV -12.22%E -5.82%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.09%EV -12.29%E -4.28%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -17.08%E -5.69%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.22%E -5.82%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.39%E -7.08%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.51%EV -14.31%E -6.98%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -11.99%E -4.16%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -11.55%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |