The School of Odds
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Nordic United FC v Östers IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 11:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 4–2 Östers IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.55%39.58%39.69%40.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.382.4846.51%42.44%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östers IF (Visit)

Prediction 35.54%2.81fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.01%35.67%35.46%36.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7141.67%39.13%39.22%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV -0.591%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.197%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.75%24.85%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.693.704.0032.26%27.11%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nordic United FC (Local): 39.61%; Östers IF (Visit): 35.54%; Draw: 24.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.591%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.45%EV -1.77%E -0.715%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.12%EV -6.17%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.55%EV -3.69%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -12.02%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.07%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 10:38
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.07%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 10:39
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.54%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.54%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:49
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.54%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:49
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.54%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:49
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 10:54
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -6.13%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.36%EV -2.58%E -0.658%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 10:55
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 10:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -7.32%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -7.55%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 10:50
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.591%E -0.148%K -0.197%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 10:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 10:54
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 10:54
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 10:49
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 10:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.88%E -4.84%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -10.88%E -4.84%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -22.96%E -7.41%K -10.93%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-09 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -12.86%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 10:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -12.86%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 10:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.11%EV -14.84%E -6.90%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-09 10:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-05-09 10:54