L’École des cotes

Nordic United FC v Östers IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 11:00 UTC

Score final : Nordic United FC 4–2 Östers IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prévision 39.61%2.52cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.715%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.55%39.58%39.69%40.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.362.382.4846.51%42.44%42.02%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Östers IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.54%2.81cote équitable
EV -3.69%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.01%35.67%35.46%36.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.552.7141.67%39.13%39.22%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.85%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.591%
Avantage -0.148%
Kelly -0.197%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%24.75%24.85%27.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.693.704.0032.26%27.11%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.45%EV -1.77%E -0.715%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.12%EV -6.17%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 10:19
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.55%EV -3.69%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -12.02%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 10:49
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.07%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 10:38
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.07%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 10:39
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 10:44
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.54%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:49
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.54%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:49
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 39.54%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:49
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 39.54%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.09%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:49
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 10:54
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -6.13%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.36%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.36%EV -2.58%E -0.658%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 10:55
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.51%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:44
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -6.92%E -2.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 10:44
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -7.32%E -3.13%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.50%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -7.55%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 10:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.591%E -0.148%K -0.197%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 10:39
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.05%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 10:54
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 10:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 10:54
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 10:49
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 10:54
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 10:55
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.88%E -4.84%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -10.88%E -4.84%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -22.96%E -7.41%K -10.93%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-09 10:55
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -12.86%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 10:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -12.86%E -5.85%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 10:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.11%EV -14.84%E -6.90%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.96%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-09 10:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22%1.7%2026-05-09 10:54