The School of Odds

Nordic United FC v Ljungskile SK

2026-08-02 13:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Nordic United FC (Local)

Prediction 43.28%2.31fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.24%43.28%43.28%44.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.042.112.082.1849.02%47.46%48.08%45.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Ljungskile SK (Visit)

Prediction 30.57%3.27fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.94%30.57%30.57%31.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.853.033.053.1035.09%32.95%32.79%32.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.14%3.82fair odd
EV -5.88%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%26.14%26.14%26.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.543.553.6029.41%28.24%28.17%27.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.64%E -2.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 13:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -5.64%E -2.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 13:10
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -5.64%E -2.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -8.89%E -2.98%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 13:15
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.24%E -3.89%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.24%E -3.89%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:05
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.24%E -3.89%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.24%E -3.89%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.22%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:11
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -8.24%E -3.89%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -12.86%E -4.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 13:10
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.97%E -4.79%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.97%E -4.79%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:05
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.97%E -4.79%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:05
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.97%E -4.79%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.97%E -4.79%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:05
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.97%E -4.79%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:05
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.97%E -4.79%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 13:11
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -9.97%E -4.79%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -6.75%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 13:06
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -11.70%E -5.74%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -8.28%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 13:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.