Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.46
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nordic United FC (Local): 39.62%; Ljungskile SK (Visit): 33.60%; Draw: 26.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.919%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.79%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.92%E -1.74%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.50%EV -7.08%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.00%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.95%E -3.30%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.91%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.60%EV -7.27%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -9.49%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.96%E -4.14%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.25%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.25%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.24%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.24%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.24%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.24%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 12:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 12:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.96%E -4.14%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.919%E -0.248%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 08:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -11.64%E -5.22%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-02 09:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 12:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 12:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-02 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -14.81%E -6.89%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -14.81%E -6.89%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 08:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.00%EV -16.00%E -7.55%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.43%EV -12.64%E -4.86%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-02 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -16.79%E -8.00%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.64%E -4.86%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-02 12:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
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