Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nordic United FC v Ljungskile SK

Início: 2026-08-02 13:00 UTC

Final: Nordic United FC 2–2 Ljungskile SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nordic United FC (Local)

Previsão 39.62%2.52odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.75%39.69%39.42%41.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.312.302.4647.62%43.27%43.48%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ljungskile SK (Visitante)

Previsão 33.60%2.98odd justa
EV -4.24%
Vantagem -1.49%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.23%33.52%33.71%34.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.762.752.8538.46%36.27%36.30%35.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.78%3.73odd justa
EV -0.919%
Vantagem -0.248%
Kelly -0.340%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.19%26.80%26.87%28.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.433.453.7032.26%29.13%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nordic United FC (Local): 39.62%; Ljungskile SK (Visitante): 33.60%; Empate: 26.78%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.73. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -0.919%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.79%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.92%E -1.74%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.50%EV -7.08%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:45
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:44
BetAnything🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.27%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:44
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.00%EV -2.53%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -8.95%E -3.30%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:54
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -2.92%E -1.19%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 12:44
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.91%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.91%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.60%EV -7.27%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -9.49%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -16.99%E -5.48%K -8.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 12:55
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 12:53
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 12:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -6.89%E -2.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.96%E -4.14%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.63%E -3.52%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.25%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 12:45
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.25%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -4.94%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 12:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.24%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.24%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.24%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.24%E -1.49%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 09:04
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 12:38
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 12:34
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.96%E -4.14%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 12:55
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:05
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:05
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:05
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:05
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -9.66%E -4.24%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 09:05
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -0.919%E -0.248%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 08:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -11.64%E -5.22%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 09:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -3.60%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 12:14
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.60%E -2.76%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -14.81%E -6.89%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.92%E -2.12%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 12:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -14.81%E -6.89%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -9.28%E -3.44%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 08:55
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.00%EV -16.00%E -7.55%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.43%EV -12.64%E -4.86%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-02 10:05
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -16.79%E -8.00%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.64%E -4.86%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-02 12:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.45%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-02 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-08-02 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-02 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-02 12:45