Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK v Örebro SK

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 13:02 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 3–2 Örebro SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prediction 46.61%2.15fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.82%46.64%46.46%48.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0754.64%50.46%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro SK (Visit)

Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV -0.668%
Edge -0.181%
Kelly -0.248%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.82%26.79%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.353.7032.26%29.52%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.660%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.16%26.54%26.74%28.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.443.453.7032.26%29.05%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ljungskile SK (Local): 46.61%; Örebro SK (Visit): 26.85%; Draw: 26.55%. For Örebro SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.668%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -11.07%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -11.07%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
BetAnything🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -11.07%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:59
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.74%EV -4.43%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 12:59
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.72%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 12:59
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 12:59
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -0.668%E -0.181%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -9.22%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.07%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 12:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.06%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 12:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.06%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.06%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.06%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 12:59
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:59
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 12:59
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 12:59
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.65%E -4.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -3.89%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -4.97%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:59
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.78%E -0.482%K -0.660%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.72%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 12:59
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-27 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-27 12:59
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-27 12:58
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -11.44%E -6.02%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.72%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -12.84%E -6.87%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -16.78%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-27 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.77%E -7.45%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 12:59
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -13.77%E -7.45%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-27 12:59
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -14.71%E -8.04%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-27 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -14.71%E -8.04%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.71%E -5.71%K -8.43%G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-06-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-06-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-06-27 13:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-06-27 13:00