La escuela de los momios

Ljungskile SK v Örebro SK

Inicio: 2026-06-27 13:02 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 3–2 Örebro SK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Predicción 46.61%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.82%46.64%46.46%48.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.982.002.0754.64%50.46%50.00%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Örebro SK (Visitante)

Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.668%
Ventaja -0.181%
Kelly -0.248%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.69%26.82%26.79%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.353.7032.26%29.52%29.85%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.55%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.482%
Kelly -0.660%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.16%26.54%26.74%28.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.453.7032.26%29.05%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -11.07%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -11.07%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 13:00
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 45.43%EV -3.52%E -1.70%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.70%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -11.07%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 12:59
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.74%EV -4.43%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 12:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 12:59
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 12:59
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.45%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.72%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-27 12:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 12:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.53%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -0.668%E -0.181%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.76%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -9.22%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 12:59
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 13:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.42%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 12:59
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.06%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.07%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-27 12:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.06%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 12:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.06%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 12:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.06%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 12:59
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -6.78%E -3.39%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -15.06%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 12:59
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:59
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 12:59
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.72%E -3.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 12:59
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.65%E -4.41%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -3.89%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -4.97%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -1.78%E -0.482%K -0.660%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 12:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-27 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.72%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 12:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-27 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 12:59
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-27 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.11%E -4.67%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.40%E -3.76%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-27 12:59
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.98%E -5.75%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-27 12:58
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -11.44%E -6.02%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.72%E -2.57%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-27 12:59
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -12.84%E -6.87%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -16.78%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-27 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -13.77%E -7.45%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.04%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-27 12:59
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -13.77%E -7.45%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.09%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-27 12:59
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -14.71%E -8.04%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -9.75%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-27 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -14.71%E -8.04%K -17.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -11.41%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.71%E -5.71%K -8.43%G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-27 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-06-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-06-27 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-06-27 13:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-06-27 13:00