Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 0–2 Nordic United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prediction 55.86%1.79fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.29%55.86%55.86%57.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7263.69%59.99%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 20.45%4.89fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.369%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.62%20.55%20.44%21.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.434.404.8225.00%22.57%22.73%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.68%4.22fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%23.60%23.69%26.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.843.804.1030.30%26.06%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ljungskile SK (Local): 55.86%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 20.45%; Draw: 23.68%. For Nordic United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.82, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:25
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.37%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.69%EV -7.54%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 10:45
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -8.83%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:50
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.65%EV -6.93%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 10:56
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -3.86%E -0.822%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.91%E -0.710%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 10:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -12.04%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:25
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.72%EV -1.41%E -0.292%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.36%EV -3.62%E -0.889%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.26%E -4.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.93%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 10:56
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -2.84%E -0.598%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:54
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -3.86%E -0.822%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:49
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 10:35
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.38%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.52%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -13.07%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.38%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.94%E -5.48%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 10:56
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.50%E -5.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 10:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -9.50%E -5.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.43%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 10:55
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -9.50%E -5.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -14.75%E -4.10%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -9.50%E -5.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -21.85%E -6.62%K -9.50%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-02 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -10.06%E -6.25%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -14.75%E -4.10%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 10:50
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -10.62%E -6.64%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -18.18%E -4.55%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-02 10:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -12.29%E -7.83%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 10:55