La escuela de los momios

Ljungskile SK v Nordic United FC

Inicio: 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 0–2 Nordic United FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Predicción 55.86%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -5.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.29%55.86%55.86%57.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7263.69%59.99%59.88%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nordic United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 20.45%4.89momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.369%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.62%20.55%20.44%21.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.404.8225.00%22.57%22.73%20.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.68%4.22momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -0.710%
Kelly -0.939%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.54%23.60%23.69%26.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.843.804.1030.30%26.06%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:25
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:25
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:25
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:25
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.37%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.69%EV -7.54%E -1.67%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 10:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -3.91%E -2.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -8.83%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:50
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.65%EV -6.93%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.03%E -2.96%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:55
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.59%E -3.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 10:56
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -3.86%E -0.822%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.91%E -0.710%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 10:45
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -11.02%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:25
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -6.15%E -3.66%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -12.04%E -2.80%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:25
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 56.92%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.72%EV -1.41%E -0.292%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.36%EV -3.62%E -0.889%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 10:50
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -5.91%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.71%E -4.02%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.01%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 10:55
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.26%E -4.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.93%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 10:56
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -2.84%E -0.598%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 10:54
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -3.86%E -0.822%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.65%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 10:35
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 10:50
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.38%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.52%EV -7.82%E -4.74%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.17%EV -13.07%E -3.07%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.38%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 10:25
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.94%E -5.48%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -10.00%E -2.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 10:56
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.50%E -5.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 10:35
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -9.50%E -5.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.43%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 10:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -9.50%E -5.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -14.75%E -4.10%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -9.50%E -5.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -21.85%E -6.62%K -9.50%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-02 10:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -10.06%E -6.25%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -14.09%E -3.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -14.75%E -4.10%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 10:50
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -10.62%E -6.64%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -18.18%E -4.55%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.20%E -2.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-02 10:35
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -12.29%E -7.83%K -21.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -7.95%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.28%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-05-02 10:55