Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK v Falkenbergs FF

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:05 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 0–2 Falkenbergs FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Prediction 36.98%2.70fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.83%36.98%36.97%38.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.452.6143.48%40.74%40.82%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 36.43%2.75fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.887%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.34%36.43%36.43%38.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.552.6842.55%39.46%39.22%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%26.59%26.61%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.433.403.6030.30%29.13%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ljungskile SK (Local): 36.98%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 36.43%; Draw: 26.60%. For Falkenbergs FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.68, with an expected value of -2.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.54%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.97%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:51
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.86%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 15:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -3.86%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -14.40%E -6.13%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 14:56
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -4.60%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -10.10%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:56
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 15:00
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:49
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 15:03
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -2.38%E -0.887%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:59
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:51
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:51
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.56%E -3.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.56%E -3.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -6.38%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -8.50%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:56
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.56%E -3.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.56%E -3.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:51
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:50
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:51
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:56
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:56
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:56
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:59
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 14:46
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:46
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:51
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -13.30%E -5.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 15:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:46
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -9.66%E -3.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 03:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -9.66%E -3.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -9.66%E -3.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-09-13 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.60%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-09-13 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.60%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-09-13 14:56
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.14%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%3.6%2026-09-13 15:01