Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ljungskile SK v Falkenbergs FF

Início: 2026-09-13 15:05 UTC

Final: Ljungskile SK 0–2 Falkenbergs FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ljungskile SK (Local)

Previsão 36.98%2.70odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.83%36.98%36.97%38.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.452.452.6143.48%40.74%40.82%38.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Previsão 36.43%2.75odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -0.887%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.34%36.43%36.43%38.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.532.552.6842.55%39.46%39.22%37.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.60%3.76odd justa
EV -4.25%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.84%26.59%26.61%27.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.433.403.6030.30%29.13%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ljungskile SK (Local): 36.98%; Falkenbergs FF (Visitante): 36.43%; Empate: 26.60%. Para Falkenbergs FF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.68, com valor esperado de -2.38%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.54%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.97%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 14:51
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.86%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 15:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -3.86%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -14.40%E -6.13%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 14:56
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -4.60%E -1.78%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -10.10%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:56
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 15:00
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:49
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 15:03
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -2.38%E -0.887%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 15:00
BetAnything🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:59
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:51
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.64%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.21%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 14:51
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -7.56%E -3.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.56%E -3.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.03%EV -6.38%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -8.50%E -2.47%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:56
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.56%E -3.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.56%E -3.02%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:51
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 14:50
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.30%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -3.47%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:51
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:56
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:56
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:56
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:59
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 14:46
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.71%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:46
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:51
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:45
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -12.00%E -5.04%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -13.30%E -5.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 15:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.91%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 14:46
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -9.66%E -3.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.57%E -2.81%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 03:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -9.66%E -3.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -9.66%E -3.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.96%E -6.50%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:46
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-09-13 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.60%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-09-13 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.60%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-09-13 14:56
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.14%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%3.6%2026-09-13 15:01