Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Landskrona BoIS v IK Brage

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 11:04 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 2–2 IK Brage

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Prediction 42.62%2.35fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.61%42.66%42.65%45.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.2850.00%45.83%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Brage (Visit)

Prediction 29.93%3.34fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.090%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.21%29.84%29.98%32.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.002.953.5035.71%33.37%33.90%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%27.50%27.36%28.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.403.5033.33%30.04%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Landskrona BoIS (Local): 42.62%; IK Brage (Visit): 29.93%; Draw: 27.45%. For IK Brage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -10.93%E -5.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV +4.76%E +1.36%K +1.90%G +0.090%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 10:59
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.10%EV -1.83%E -0.558%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 10:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 11:00
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 10:59
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -14.77%E -7.38%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 11:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 11:00
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 10:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.82%E -2.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -11.05%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 10:59
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 10:59
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 11:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 11:00
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.82%E -2.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.97%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 10:59
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 10:59
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 10:59
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 10:58
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 10:59
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 10:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 10:59
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 10:59
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 10:59
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.64%E -6.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-30 10:59
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.77%E -7.38%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-30 11:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 11:00
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.77%E -7.38%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.64%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-30 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -14.70%E -5.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -16.20%E -5.78%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -16.20%E -5.78%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-30 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -16.20%E -5.78%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-30 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-30 11:00