La escuela de los momios

Landskrona BoIS v IK Brage

Inicio: 2026-05-30 11:04 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 2–2 IK Brage

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 42.62%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.61%42.66%42.65%45.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.202.2850.00%45.83%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Brage (Visitante)

Predicción 29.93%3.34momio equitativo
EV +4.76%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.090%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%29.84%29.98%32.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.002.953.5035.71%33.37%33.90%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%27.50%27.36%28.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.403.5033.33%30.04%29.41%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -10.93%E -5.23%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV +4.76%E +1.36%K +1.90%G +0.090%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 10:59
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.10%EV -1.83%E -0.558%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.49%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 10:59
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 11:00
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 11:00
BetAnything2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 10:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -14.77%E -7.38%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 11:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 11:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 10:59
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.82%E -2.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -6.02%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -11.05%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 10:59
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 10:59
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 11:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 11:00
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.35%EV -5.82%E -2.63%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.97%EV -4.74%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 10:59
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 10:59
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 10:59
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 10:58
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 10:59
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.50%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -2.83%E -1.24%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 10:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 10:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 10:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 10:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 10:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.64%E -6.16%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-30 10:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.77%E -7.38%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -14.90%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-30 11:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.15%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 11:00
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.37%E -3.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.77%E -7.38%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -17.64%E -5.88%K -8.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-30 11:00
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.01%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -14.70%E -5.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 10:49
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -16.20%E -5.78%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -16.20%E -5.78%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-30 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -6.24%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -16.20%E -5.78%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-30 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-30 11:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-30 11:00