Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Landskrona BoIS v IFK Värnamo

Kickoff: 2026-06-28 13:02 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 1–0 IFK Värnamo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Prediction 47.71%2.10fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%47.76%47.70%51.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.881.912.0157.80%53.27%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visit)

Prediction 26.31%3.80fair odd
EV +5.22%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.091%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.35%26.28%26.34%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.583.524.0031.25%27.94%28.41%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV +0.029%
Edge +0.008%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%25.96%25.96%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.23%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Landskrona BoIS (Local): 47.71%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 26.31%; Draw: 25.98%. For IFK Värnamo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -13.16%E -7.23%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +5.22%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.091%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.27%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -13.16%E -7.23%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +5.22%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.091%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.27%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -16.98%E -9.76%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV +1.28%E +0.331%K +0.448%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-28 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 13:00
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 12:59
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -4.10%E -2.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.67%E -0.722%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 12:59
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%EV -8.39%E -4.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.67%E -0.722%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 12:59
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -17.46%E -10.09%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -2.67%E -0.722%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 12:59
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-28 12:59
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.62%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 13:00
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.62%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.48%E -3.31%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -6.88%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 12:59
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-28 13:00
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-28 12:59
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 12:59
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 12:58
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 13:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 12:59
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.30%E -5.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 12:59
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-28 12:58
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-28 12:59
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.73%E -6.34%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-28 12:59
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-28 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-28 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-28 13:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 13:00
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-28 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -19.46%E -6.28%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-28 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.82%E -4.94%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-28 12:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-06-28 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-06-28 13:00
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-06-28 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-06-28 13:00