La escuela de los momios

Landskrona BoIS v IFK Värnamo

Inicio: 2026-06-28 13:02 UTC

Final: Landskrona BoIS 1–0 IFK Värnamo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Landskrona BoIS (Local)

Predicción 47.71%2.10momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -4.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.35%47.76%47.70%51.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.881.912.0157.80%53.27%52.36%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Värnamo (Visitante)

Predicción 26.31%3.80momio equitativo
EV +5.22%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +1.74%
Crecimiento +0.091%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.35%26.28%26.34%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.583.524.0031.25%27.94%28.41%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV +0.029%
Ventaja +0.008%
Kelly +0.010%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%25.96%25.96%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.553.8532.26%28.23%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -13.16%E -7.23%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +5.22%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.091%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.27%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:59
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -13.16%E -7.23%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +5.22%E +1.31%K +1.74%G +0.091%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -1.27%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 12:59
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 13:00
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV +2.59%E +0.664%K +0.894%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -16.98%E -9.76%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV +1.28%E +0.331%K +0.448%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-28 12:59
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 13:00
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -15.07%E -8.47%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -0.039%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 13:00
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -1.62%E -0.433%K -0.590%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -6.73%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 12:59
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.41%EV -4.10%E -2.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.67%E -0.722%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 12:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%EV -8.39%E -4.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -2.67%E -0.722%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +0.029%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 12:59
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 51.15%EV -17.46%E -10.09%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -2.67%E -0.722%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 13:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -3.99%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 12:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-28 12:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.62%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 13:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.62%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 12:59
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.48%E -3.31%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -6.88%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-28 12:59
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -3.87%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-28 13:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-28 12:59
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 12:59
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.93%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 12:58
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.77%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 13:00
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.25%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 12:59
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-28 12:59
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -10.30%E -5.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 12:59
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-28 12:58
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-28 12:59
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.73%E -6.34%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-28 12:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-28 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-28 13:00
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -9.35%E -4.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-28 13:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 13:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 13:00
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-28 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -19.46%E -6.28%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-28 12:59
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -12.69%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.82%E -4.94%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-28 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-06-28 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-06-28 13:00
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-06-28 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.74%1.6%2026-06-28 13:00