Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oddevold v IFK Värnamo

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Final: IK Oddevold 1–2 IFK Värnamo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prediction 44.52%2.25fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.57%44.47%44.69%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.082.102.2151.81%48.01%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visit)

Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.19%29.24%28.99%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.103.103.3134.72%32.23%32.26%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%26.29%26.32%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.453.6330.77%29.02%28.99%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Oddevold (Local): 44.52%; IFK Värnamo (Visit): 29.13%; Draw: 26.34%. For IK Oddevold (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -1.60%E -0.725%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.05%E -0.931%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 03:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.05%E -0.931%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 03:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.05%E -0.931%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 03:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.05%E -0.931%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 03:00
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.56%EV -3.83%E -1.77%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.58%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 10:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 12:25
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.14%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:30
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -9.11%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:29
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -9.11%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:01
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 03:00
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.39%E -3.55%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:29
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.21%EV -7.39%E -3.55%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.72%EV -8.28%E -4.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -4.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 03:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -4.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 03:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 05:10
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 13:05
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:56
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:56
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.95%E -5.48%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.95%E -5.48%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 10:35
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.95%E -5.48%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 05:09
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.95%E -5.48%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 05:10
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 44.69%EV -11.40%E -5.73%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -11.15%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 05:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.18%E -6.76%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -14.07%E -7.29%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%4.9%2026-09-18 15:25